By: Sampath Kumar  May. 06, 2021

OSF Saint Anthony Medical Center in Rockford, IL, reported a CMS Value Based Purchasing (VBP) adjustment factor of 0.9867 in the year 2021, which could result in an estimated penalty of $651,968. Medicare Spending Per Beneficiary (MSPB) accounts for 25% of overall VBP score and is a significant factor in driving VBP payments. MSPB costs include the costs from 3 days before hospitalization, index hospital stays, and 30 days post-discharge. The measure score of the Efficiency & Cost Reduction domain for OSF Saint Anthony Medical Center during the period was 0/10. Dexur is an approved purchaser of CMS Medicare claims data and based on our simulator, we estimate that OSF Saint Anthony Medical Center can avoid VBP penalties by reducing MSPB Cost by 18.2%.

OSF Saint Anthony Medical Center’s average MSPB cost per episode (risk adjusted and price standardized) during the period of January 2019 to December 2019 was $23,596. The average cost of Post Index Stays was $9,728 with a total of 3,444 episodes.

Dexur Simulator for MSPB Cost Reduction

OSF Saint Anthony Medical Center can achieve the break-even VBP adjustment factor of 1 by earning 9 points in MSPB and thereby avoid VBP penalties to achieve incentives. Hospitals need to reduce post Index hospitalization costs to meet these MSPB reduction targets. Dexur’s simulator has identified four main levers and estimated reduction in each of these levers to reduce MSPB to the target levels and ultimately achieve a positive MSPB score:

• Reduction in Rehospitalizations: 45% reduction in rehospitalizations causes 6.1% reduction in MSPB cost and impacts 251 episodes.

• Shift from SNF discharge to Home: 45% shift causes 6.3% reduction in average MSPB cost and impacts 346 episodes.

• Shift from SNF discharge to Home Health: 45% shift causes 5.1% reduction in average MSPB cost and impacts 346 episodes.

• Shift from Home Health to Home: 45% shift causes 0.8% reduction in average MSPB cost and impacts 225 episodes.

In Summary, the four levers impact 1168 episodes and reduce the average MSPB cost by 18.2% and improve the MSPB performance rate to 0.869. This increases the VBP adjustment factor to 1.0012 and helps achieve an incentive of $58.8k

A much higher reduction in Post Index stay costs can further improve VBP incentives. For example, a 49% reduction in post index stay costs can reduce the average MSPB cost by 19.9%, and earn a VBP Adjustment Factor of 1.0028, thereby achieving an incentive of $137.2k.